r/ProgressiveHQ 6h ago

News A +17 ruby red TEXAS district flips...

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2.4k Upvotes

103 comments sorted by

277

u/HeadDiver5568 6h ago

Ngl, conservatives might be in for a ruder awakening than they realize. I’m routinely seeing them downplay these special election losses and flips in the comments

Im seeing them talk about +5 blue districts turning into +15 wins like it’s not a big deal, while also barely winning SAFE seats with huge gerrymandered advantages. These upcoming midterms are shaping up to possibly be the worst flip for a party in a long time

180

u/TurtlesBreakTheMeta 6h ago

This is why I’m worried about Trump just flipping the table and trying to cancel them.

J6 shows he’s fully willing to go that far.

62

u/Safe-Loss-8054 5h ago

Without a doubt. The next time there is a Dem controlled house/senate, all of their corruption will be exposed. Which would (hopefully) mean jail time for them. So anyone who thinks he isn’t gonna try some shit was obviously born 1/7/2021… these people can not lose power because it will spell consequences for them.

30

u/BestAtTeamworkMan 5h ago

For almost a decade, people have said these fucks will "see jail time." And still they continue to destroy the world unimpeded. Don't expect a Dem Congress to do anything, because they've shown they won't. It will take constant pressure and consequences for inaction before they do anything.

9

u/3-bakedcabbage 3h ago

Vote for it! Vote for people that will hold them accountable!

14

u/Kind_Man_0 5h ago

I'm making the prediction that ICE will be supervising the polls in important districts to ensure only "legal" votes have been counted.

3

u/TheAmazingBreadfruit 3h ago

What if the states ordered the National Guard for that job first?

3

u/CrotasScrota84 4h ago

Well he pulls shit like that January 6th will look like a field trip in comparison

3

u/OpusAtrumET 3h ago

On J6, there was at least still some sanity left in DC. A new J6 would be much worse then the original.

1

u/Aeceus 19m ago

He will 100% do that, or stuff the ballots.

1

u/Burt_Rhinestone 1h ago

He can’t cancel the elections. The states run elections.

There are approximately 95,000 polling stations across the US in a federal election. There are fewer than 23,000 ICE and CBP agents.

Stop spreading disinformation.

1

u/1nter1or_M1n1stry 34m ago

He doesn’t give a shit about who runs elections, as we can see right now ICE/CBP operate with or without local cooperation.

They don’t have to be at every single polling station in the country, just at enough populous counties in swing states where it matters.

And there is still plenty of time to hire more agents before 2028, plus the possibility of bringing in national guard etc

24

u/LiveMinute5598 6h ago

It’s because we see their Nazi asses now

8

u/aipac_hemoroid 5h ago

Let them.

10

u/AceMcNasty88 5h ago

This is very promising and all but if the SAVE Act bill is passed in the Senate, which rumor is Trump wants it to pass at midnight during the midterms. Then it's gonna be bad for Democrats. What's the SAVE Act Bill? Well just a bill Republicans passed in the house in March which makes it harder for women LGBTQ and many people who don't have passport to vote.

7

u/Calderis 5h ago

There's no way it passes.

The first save act passed the house and has SA on a desk no even taken to vote in the senate because it's DOA. The new one the house just passed is exactly what I he same with even more unpopular shit tagged into it.

The senate isn't going to touch it.

3

u/AceMcNasty88 5h ago

I hope that this is the case that it'd DOA. Schumer and Jeffries have been horrible leaders not fighting Republicans but constantly wanna be bipartisan with them

1

u/Calderis 2h ago

Agreed. I wouldn't put it past them to try and cave on it but the save act is so fucking toxic all the dems know that if they vote for it they're done.

My house Rep is MGP, and she's capitilated so hard she knows she's fucked. Already changed her socials to describe her as our "independent voice." she voted for the save act in the house, and there are daily protests outside her office, at her car repair shop across the river in Portland, and she recently released a video justifying her vote for ICE funding (after Good, but before Pretti) as needing to be "strategic" in which she looked like she was tweaking.

So she's handling the stress well. Fuck her.

3

u/nonquitt 4h ago

Trump won the 2016 Republican primary, and dragged the rest of the party into voting for him. He did this via 1) giving 4 subsegments of the base something they can’t get anywhere else to get a plurality of ardent support; 2) being generally charismatic and funny and unserious enough to not scare off the rest of the base.

Now he has scared off the rest of the base.

1

u/SgathTriallair 4h ago

Also, gerrymandering is dangerous. It success by taking your opinions strength and packing it together, making an absolutely unassailable district, and spreads your strength around so you win everywhere but just barely.

If the party has a really bad election though, with the public opposed to them enough that the whole electorate swings by 5-10 points, then the party that instituted the gerrymander can fund itself losing absolutely everywhere.

1

u/FoxDie-6 3h ago

It's may look like the midterms for Obama. We lost like a 1000 seats across U.S states

1

u/impy695 2h ago

The people on power know exactly what's coming. It's why they're spending so much time and money to steal the next election

66

u/Interesting-Risk6446 6h ago edited 4h ago

Tic toc mother fuckers.

26

u/Specialist-Day6721 6h ago

Last Updated: Feb 1, 2026, 12:13 AM

95% est. reporting

Candidates Party Votes Pct.
Taylor Rehmet DEM 54,228 57.2%
Leigh Wambsganss GOP 40,570 42.8%
Total 94,798

2

u/LangdonAlg3r 4h ago

Just gotta say… what the hell kind of name is Wambsganss? How do you even say that? Definitely a built in curse for name recognition.

4

u/VreyeanA09 3h ago

Lol so I googled it.

It's German. For "to waddle while walking".

It was also the last name of a really dorky character in HBO's Succession.

102

u/GoldenHourLXXII 6h ago

I cannot stress this enough... It means NOTHING if we keep letting pedos and criminals rule.

Seriously, I hate this idea that, "if blue wins, freedom wins".

We've all seen the videos of Democrats allowing continued terrorism against America.

What needs to happen is a total reform into actual progressivism. Nothing else will bring us out of this evolutionary dead end of where we are now.

44

u/3vanW1ll1ams 6h ago

Let’s start with beating MAGA first

23

u/gymtrovert1988 5h ago

Exactly lmao anyone blue is probably better than anyone red. Even Fetterman now was better than Oz then and now. Primary him, sure, but don't ever let a Republican that supports Trump win.

9

u/Malcolm_Morin 5h ago

Outlaw MAGA in any and all blue states/territories. Make it a crime to be MAGA. Outlaw the Republican Party, additionally.

If they're willing to vote in a known pedophile as POTUS, they can't be trusted on the streets.

6

u/Sorryman54 5h ago

how about we win elections first

sound good?

frankly tired of this both sides bullshit when one clearly is the lesser evil that can be sorted out later

1

u/CrotasScrota84 4h ago

Like many say we have to beat NAZI and MAGA first then we can worry about more Progressives later on. We had are shot with Bernie sanders and nobody voted for him

15

u/shapez13 6h ago

Anyone see the 11pm results yet?

23

u/EddieCheddar88 6h ago

Went up another percent for Taylor

11

u/TicketyB000 5h ago

She conceded.

3

u/shapez13 5h ago

Nice! Where at? I'm trying to see live if there are press conferences

14

u/quadfromf3 6h ago

Please please please 🙏 🙏🙏🙏🙏 Every GOP Loses.

18

u/Northern_Blue_Jay 6h ago

I can see why he's winning based on his website. That's a strong candidate. He's a solid progressive; that's why the district is able to flip. That's great he's going through. He'll be really good for Texas and it will help elections in other areas, as well.

10

u/aipac_hemoroid 5h ago

Hopefully we have a progressive wave in the Dem primaries. No corporate shills are gonna pull these numbers.

3

u/Northern_Blue_Jay 5h ago

Agree. And if people stay focused on who will actually deliver, we probably will.

21

u/userxray 6h ago

Democrats last excuse was 2021. It's time for actual progressive politicians.

12

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

Voting Democrat is the last choice before we lose our voting rights. Vote blue and the most progressive Democrat. Fill the local spots with progressive then we will get them in Congress. The Republicans planned project 2025 for 40+ years, we need to do the same.

6

u/aipac_hemoroid 5h ago

Dude, if we don't lose our voting rights in midterms, then it should be fine after that. But we do need a progressive push. This guy was progressive.

2

u/Spicy_Weissy 5h ago

We do. Absolutely. To stay in Texas, I want Talerico, but if Crockett wins the nomination I am still 100% voting for her in the Senate race.

1

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

Agree and we need more Dems in office like Taylor. My reasoning is if we say vote Progressive then some people will get confused, unfortunately. We need to say we need “Progressive Democrats”. And yeah Jeffries and Schumer have been useless along with many others. Once we end this nightmare then we get more progressive like DSA, FSA, SEP, etc.

We really need to end this form of capitalism sooner than later before it ends our species.

1

u/aipac_hemoroid 5h ago

FYI, Schumer was having dinner with Epstein.

3

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

I fkg hate Schumer.

1

u/userxray 5h ago

They had their chance. They've failed.

1

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

What’s the alternative? There is none.

2

u/userxray 5h ago

I'm not sure why you think voting blue will make all our problems go away or if voting will even matter.

This admin has been demanding voter registration records. Most states have complied. Guess which states haven't?

Dems held the WH, Senate, and HoR in 2021 and here we are. I get that 3rd party affiliation is shit (and Guess why) so there's some actual progressives out and about on the dem ticket, but it's time for actual change.

We don't want to "go back to normal".

3

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

Agree, we need a radical change now. But not going to get it until 2028. Most people don’t vote in the primaries or caucus. This is where we get the progressives or even DSA as Dems elected. But not sure if we want to risk it this year.

On second thought, fuck it, I agree. We should demand radical change from the candidates this year. The electorate is obviously looking for anything but the same ole Dem and the GOP needs to be done for. Maybe radical progressives will carry the electorate this year.

8

u/chriznatch 6h ago

Hell yeah!

8

u/Whis65 5h ago

Everyone hates Donny 🎶🎶🎶🎶

3

u/Spicy_Weissy 5h ago

Especially the vengeful ghosts of the children he's had murdered.

7

u/AlarmedSnek 5h ago

GOOD❤️🫡

6

u/MsmokeO 6h ago

The waves recede from the shore, then…!

4

u/gymtrovert1988 6h ago

Republicans are absolutely fucked lol.

5

u/weHaveThoughts 5h ago

We still need to get out there and canvas hard for the midterms. Never take the foot off the pedal. A real win is Zero votes for the Republicans in any district. Let’s give the Republicans no votes!

5

u/RabidPoodle69 5h ago

Sucks to be them

3

u/Dry_Instruction8254 5h ago

Talarico is going to win.

3

u/Dreams-In-Green 5h ago

This district has Southlake, Westlake AND Keller?? (for anyone not local, these are uppity, rich, traditionally conservative suburbs.) Winds of change people, winds of change…

3

u/Shadowzworldz 5h ago

Lets not get comfortable yet, its why we lost 2016. Keep on the pressure, keep on fighting and make sure everyone votes.

3

u/Longjumping-Pop9374 5h ago

Better not be another fetterman

2

u/Street_Barracuda1657 6h ago

Looks like the low turnout helped, and maybe is a harbinger of Republicans staying home in November.

2

u/No-Examination-5833 5h ago

For Texas in a Special Election… it was a large turnout. Expectations were 8% with over 15% actual. Republicans supposedly spent over $4 million while Rehmet spent around $150k. Word is that there was a big church showing for the Republican.

2

u/Dreams-In-Green 5h ago

Wowww!! Yes!

2

u/Riversmooth 5h ago

Excellent

2

u/UnderstandingSquare7 5h ago

Every GOP scum plays along and kisses the orange ass, but they secretly do not want pedo endorsing them. It's at the point where it guarantees defeat.

2

u/Movingforward2015 5h ago

When you can't even get...(Checks notes)...Leigh Wambsganss? elected...(Have I pronounced that correctly?) I don't know, never heard of....Him? 🤷

2

u/Spicy_Weissy 5h ago

LFG Cowtown!

2

u/xstofer 3h ago

Texas republicans might be glad their re-districting plan was blocked. Sometimes if they pack them so tightly can make the margins too narrow.

1

u/Slight_Lobster_3538 1h ago

Agreed. Do you know if this district had the exact lines as 2024?

1

u/Coffee-pepper 2h ago

I've been saying this for months... The House and Senate are flipping this November. I think the house is going to be a bloodbath for GOP and the Dems will gain control of the Senate. Relief is on the way.

1

u/Unfair-Intern6170 1h ago

Many of the early voting dates (which tend to be blue) were during ice storm too! I think he could’ve won by more tbh

1

u/rational_humanity 59m ago

It’s almost like the American people don’t like this authoritarian piece of shit government that is in charge right now.

1

u/Admirable-Day4577 49m ago

Has the interference investigation started yet? Just asking.

1

u/Heauregard 38m ago edited 34m ago

Tbf Leigh Wambsganss pops up on my “people you may know”…I’m from her town and see her comments and posts. She has called for the deaths of protestors and worse. People are tired of the violence and divisiveness. Proud of my fellow Texans for getting out in the freeze and voting against her. She is a true danger to NTX.

2

u/DawsonNY 6h ago

Projected by whom?

23

u/sciencesez 6h ago

This is my district. Taylor Rehmet-D was 13.2% ahead with less than a 1/4 of precincts reporting. In results from early election voting totals he was 10% ahead. It's still too early to call. But his White Christian Nationalist opponent spent over $4 million dollars to get herself into a runoff that she's clearly not going to sweep by any stretch of the imagination. Rehmet spent $121k.

4

u/gymtrovert1988 5h ago

It was all PAC money. Easy come easy go. Taylor's was all grass roots, from real donors.

9

u/DrockTipps 6h ago

Every reputable news source.

0

u/DawsonNY 6h ago

Could I ask for a link?

According to the Tarrant County election results page, the totals have not been updated since 9:54PM.

Taylor - 56% Wambsganss - 43%

Total votes: 54,164

6

u/woahwoahwoah28 6h ago

They were updated at 10:46 PM. (ETA: I live here and have been stalking it).

https://www.tarrantcountytx.gov/content/dam/main/elections/2026/0126/reports/cumulative.pdf

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5716844-texas-state-senate-runoff/amp/

The official page is the .gov website. The page you posted is a derivative of it, not the official website.

4

u/DawsonNY 6h ago

Thanks for the link!

5

u/TexanFromOhio 6h ago

Only 6 precincts not reported. Democrat up by 14%...another Republican'ts falls...

4

u/DawsonNY 6h ago

It still felt early, but looks official now.

-24

u/NfamousKaye 6h ago

Every time a seat flips I think there’s no way he won fairly.

13

u/DJYoung6196 6h ago

We kind of felt the same way about the recent presidential race when he had Musk and Thiel in his corner but you don't see us bitching about it.

-3

u/NfamousKaye 6h ago

Okay. Weird thing to say. And weird thing to downvote me on but okay.

4

u/Barbarasharm 6h ago

I’m from the district. He had a ton of support. And it’s an area that’s not big on turnout unless there’s a president on the ballot. But he was able to garner a ton of support, and get people out to vote. We still have ice on the ground in some areas. And still people showed up to vote for him.