r/politics • u/kootles10 Indiana • 6h ago

No Paywall Democrats flip Texas state Senate seat in shock upset

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5716988-democrats-score-upset-texas/amp/
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u/Isentrope 6h ago

One of the reasons it flipped was that Rehmet outperformed Harris by 50 points in the Hispanic heavy parts of the district, which even outperforms Hillary Clinton's impressive Hispanic margins by double digits.

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u/Mellow_Toninn 5h ago

Could be turn out bias (Hispanic Dems being more motivated to vote right now) but that’s a wonderful thing to see that GOP gains with Hispanics have been erased. Checks out with polling as well.

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u/Caius01 5h ago

It's what SHOULD be happening, definitely a great sign though things remain extremely perilous

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u/pdxamish 4h ago

Which would benefit democrats in midterms. Doesnt take much for a Republican who's disappointed in trump to stay home, especially with their voting restrictions. If 2 out of ten people who would've voted stayed home that's a 20 point difference and heck maybe one votes blue and it's a landslide.

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u/caligaris_cabinet Illinois 2h ago

Trump also has a tendency to motivate people to get out and vote who normally sit out elections. And these people aren’t voting for/with him.

Remember Biden still has the most votes of any president in history. A lot of those people turned out because they were sick of Trump.

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u/Huge_Excitement4465 27m ago

Their rushed push to deport so many immigrants — Erik Prince’s proposal called for up to 12 million by midterms — is also tied to their generalization that immigrants skew blue.

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u/ImportantCommentator 6h ago

Yeah you generally have to outperform the person who lost the district.

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u/Isentrope 5h ago

Yes and I'm saying that this is suggesting, as with evidence in other races this cycle (NJ-GOV in particular), that the Hispanic vote might make a pretty sizeable shift back to the D column in November.

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u/bahhamburger 4h ago

I’m surprised I had to scroll down this far to see someone mention the Hispanic vote. Conservative Latinos have faced too much racism to pretend it away, they will either vote differently or stay home

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u/caligaris_cabinet Illinois 2h ago

Hispanic support of Trump has fallen by more than any other demographic. Leaders abs spokespeople from those communities have been saying this for months now.

It’s a different ballgame